Monday, January 16, 2012

     An area of low pressure will develop to our west, spreading precipitation into the region over the next two days. [http://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=360951147254536&set=a.204180929598226.61750.203465999669719&type=1&theater] Tonight, a light moderate batch of precip will impact the area, The latest data from the HRRR suggests that areas in the yellow shaded region (Such as Hartford, CT, Springfield, MA and Portions of Western CT could receive over 2" of snow, with icy conditions scattered thought the region. Frozen precip should impact that region in the early morning hours. 
Friday, a Alberta Clipper system will track to the northwest of our region, then re-develop off the coast of Long Island, NY From there, the system should intensify slightly and move NNE. At the moment, this system looks like a marginal event, with isolated amounts of 3"+ In the Eastern New England area. 
A second system emerging from the southeast, looks to impact the The Northern Mid-Atlatic. Cities like Baltimore, Philadelphia, and New York City, could pickup 1-3" from this system. I will continue to monitor it for further updates. Maps will be out later this week concerning Both systems.
As we look into the long range, it looks like a warm shot will impact the Northeast from the 23rd of January to the 26th. It will be noticeably mild during that time period. Current modeled guidance suggests that the warm spell will be short-lived, and much colder air is on deck. All eyes now turn to the last few days of January as the NAO looks to go negative. It i possible that Northeast may see a storm during the last week of January. This is another situation that i will continue to monitor. Overall, January should average out Above-Average for the vast majority of the Northeast. Details on what i think is in store for the first two weeks of February are available below in my Long Range Forecast Discussion [http://www.facebook.com/permalink.php?story_fbid=359947554021562&id=203465999669719
Questions? Comments? Please leave in the comment section below.
©Sam Ebby of Northeast Weather

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